HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
705 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WILL PASS EAST OF THE AREA THIS
EVENING...IMPACTS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...EASTERN
LONG ISLAND...AND THE COASTAL WATERS...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN
NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
COASTAL WATERS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.3N...LONGITUDE 74.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH
OF LONG ISLAND. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY FRIDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS
EASTERN LONG ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT
WATERS.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS CAN BE FELT HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS
FOR THE PROTECTION OF PROPERTY. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND
MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO
YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER
DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 9AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
705 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 60
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINIMAL...WITH ABOUT A 1 FT SURGE DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
705 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WILL PASS EAST OF THE AREA THIS
EVENING...IMPACTS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...EASTERN
LONG ISLAND...AND THE COASTAL WATERS...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN
NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
COASTAL WATERS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.3N...LONGITUDE 74.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH
OF LONG ISLAND. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY FRIDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS
EASTERN LONG ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT
WATERS.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS CAN BE FELT HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS
FOR THE PROTECTION OF PROPERTY. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND
MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO
YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER
DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 9AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
705 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME RANGE FROM 36
PERCENT ACROSS NASSAU COUNTY...TO AROUND 20 PERCENT IN NYC. THIS
REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FOR UPDATES.
THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND
THEN LAST INTO THE EVENING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES EAST OF THE AREA...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO
2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND ANS THE BACK
BAYS OF NASSAU AND QUEENS DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDE
OCCURS IN NYC AROUND 4 PM EDT...AND ACROSS LONG ISLAND AROUND 7 PM
EDT.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT LARGE WAVES TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL
CAUSE BEACH EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC
FACING SHORELINES.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN
WILL DEVELOP TODAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING DANGEROUS
INTO THE WEEKEND AT OCEAN BEACHES.